Showing posts with label Italy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Italy. Show all posts

Tuesday, 22 May 2018

Italy: how to ditch the Euro

Many 'Experts' agree that leaving the Euro would have catastrophic consequences for a country like Italy. In particular, (foreign) debts would explode bankrupting the state, banks and companies with debts denominated in Euros.
But a simple solution is overlooked - Italy, or any other country - could simply re denominate these debts as it can do it with any internal debts. There would be an outcry but extreme situations call for extreme solutions.
And anyone who arranges his financial affairs in a way so as not to take this possibility into account can only blame himself. Quite a few years ago - and before the Financial Crash - we said that a narrow spread of BTP to Bunds of just 15 bp or so was not viable and any investor was foolish to hold on to the Italian paper.
So you have been warned!

Thursday, 30 June 2011

Italy: Desperate Fiscal Proposals

The proposed introduction of a 0.15 per cent tax on financial transactions and a 35 per cent tax on profits from proprietary trading by the banks (let's hope there are profits!) will do nothing but further strangle the financial marketplace. In an environment where the overall economy stagnates for the better part of the past ten years this can not be seen as an intelligent measure. In addition, the definitions required to make the fiscal net reasonably workable (which transactions? which institutions? - if only banks will that not give a tremendous boost for the 'shadow banking system'?) will not be worked out all that easily. As always, the political kleptocracy's instinct is to rely more on tax increases rather than conduct a root-and-branch reform of misdirected spending policies.